Births vs Deaths
Employment by Subregion
A different demographic outlook
Working with existing data sets and some developed specifically for the study, the Housing Market Analysis provides a level of insight not previously available for Barnstable County. The demographic and economic model developed by Crane Associates and EPR was refined with the guidance of experts from Provincetown to Falmouth. The resulting forecast is an expression of what could be, given the best understanding of local land use constraints.
Cape Cod has declining natural growth
The higher number of deaths is attributable, in part, to the Cape's success as a retirement destination. Those moving to Barnstable County after raising their families elsewhere influence both ends of natural growth measurements, decreasing births and increasing deaths. This influence is also reflected in the higher median age of the population.
Analysis of the Economy
Nearly half of all Cape employment is in the three economic sectors, led by Health Care and Social Assistance. The others – Accommodation/Food Services and Retail Trade – are key industries for tourism and second home owners.
From 2015 to 2025, Barnstable County is expected to see 3.3% growth in population, and a 5.5% increase in employment. The forecast for 2017-2025 pins population growth to slow, but steady economic growth. Newly-created jobs will draw people into the region faster than the loss of natural population.
The forecast shows 6,200 new people on the Cape over the next 10 years, with the clear majority resulting from employment growth and in-migration.